Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Oct 2, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Azul
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and CD Guadalajara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
43.52% ( 0.15) | 26.74% ( -0.05) | 29.74% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.1) |
| 45.28% ( 0.15) | 54.72% ( -0.15) |
| 23.96% ( 0.12) | 76.04% ( -0.12) |
| 75.05% ( 0.14) | 24.95% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.41% ( 0.2) | 59.59% ( -0.19) |
| 66.67% ( 0) | 33.33% ( -0) |
