SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
43.52% ( 0.15) | 26.74% ( -0.05) | 29.74% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.28% ( 0.15) | 54.72% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% ( 0.12) | 76.04% ( -0.12) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.14) | 24.95% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.41% ( 0.2) | 59.59% ( -0.19) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( 0) | 33.33% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.05% ( 0) | 69.95% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.74% |
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