Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.