SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Monterrey had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Monterrey win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Monterrey |
51.88% ( -0.02) | 24.17% ( -0) | 23.95% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( 0.04) | 48.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( 0.04) | 70.35% ( -0.04) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 0.01) | 18.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( 0.01) | 49.82% ( -0.02) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.04) | 34.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( 0.04) | 71.23% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.87% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 23.95% |
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