Guadalajara
2 - 0
Toluca

Huerta (45+6'), Cisneros (90+5')
Sepulveda (49'), Cisneros (55'), Huerta (57'), Uriel (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Baeza (41'), Sambueza (44')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
51.1%	26.09%	22.81%

Both teams to score 46.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32%

56.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36%

77.64%

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74%

22.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29%

55.7%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.7%

40.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.07%

76.92%

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 51.08%

Toluca 22.81%

Draw 26.08%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 13.47% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.08%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.81%