Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.