Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Necaxa
59.33% ( -0.67)	22.77% ( 0.39)	17.9% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.28% (

-1.16)

49.71% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.27% (

-1.05)

71.72% (

1.04)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6% (

-0.63)

16.4% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.94% (

-1.14)

46.05% (

1.14)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.43% (

-0.36)

41.56% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.94% (

-0.32)

78.06% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 59.33%

Necaxa 17.9%

Draw 22.77%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Necaxa
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.97% Total : 59.33%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.9%