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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 14, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
2 - 0
Necaxa

Beltran (24'), Brigido (84')
Mozo (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Batista (45'), Gonzalez (60'), Rodriguez (75')
Dudamel (45+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 8 at 4am in Liga MX

We said: CD Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa

Necaxa have been resilient in their first two games of the new season, but Friday presents a much trickier test, and we see this confident Guadalajara side making it three wins on the bounce on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CD Guadalajara.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
54.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 20.05% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 45.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.27% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)20.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.79%79.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 54.73%
    Necaxa 20.05%
    Draw 25.21%
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, July 9 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Guadalajara
Tuesday, July 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-3 Tigres
Monday, May 29 at 2.35am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-0 Guadalajara
Friday, May 26 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-3 Guadalajara
Monday, May 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-1 America
Friday, May 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 8 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 30 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Atlas
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, April 15 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 9 at 12am in Liga MX


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