Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 14, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio AKRON
Beltran (24'), Brigido (84')
Mozo (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
We said: CD Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa
Necaxa have been resilient in their first two games of the new season, but Friday presents a much trickier test, and we see this confident Guadalajara side making it three wins on the bounce on home turf.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CD Guadalajara.
Result |
CD Guadalajara | Draw | Necaxa |
54.74% ( 0.01) | 25.21% ( -0) | 20.05% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.36% ( 0) |
43.77% ( 0.01) | 56.23% ( -0.01) |
22.73% ( 0.01) | 77.27% ( -0.01) |
79.45% ( 0.01) | 20.55% ( -0.01) |