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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 9, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Necaxa

Perez (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlas 3-3 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 Santos Laguna
Saturday, April 1 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
50.65% (0.032000000000004 0.03) 25.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 23.73% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (0.033000000000001 0.03)54.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03)75.58% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.41% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58% (0.042000000000002 0.04)54.42% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99%38.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 50.65%
    Necaxa 23.73%
    Draw 25.62%
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.65%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Atlas 3-3 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-4 America
Sunday, March 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Guadalajara
Saturday, March 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, March 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 19 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 Santos Laguna
Saturday, April 1 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Necaxa
Monday, March 13 at 3.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Tigres
Saturday, March 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 18 at 11.06pm in Liga MX


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