Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Pumas
33.76% ( 0.15)	26.18% ( -0)	40.06% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.76% (

0.05)

51.23% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.93% (

0.04)

73.07% (

-0.04)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

0.12)

28.8% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.34% (

0.15)

64.65% (

-0.15)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83% (

-0.05)

25.16% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

-0.08)

59.89% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 33.76%

Pumas 40.06%

Draw 26.17%

Necaxa	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.76%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 10% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.06%