SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
40.34% ( 0.26) | 26.28% ( -0.06) | 33.37% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( 0.22) | 51.75% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( 0.19) | 73.52% ( -0.19) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( 0.24) | 25.25% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40% ( 0.33) | 60% ( -0.33) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.02) | 29.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.72% ( -0.02) | 65.28% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.34% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.37% |
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