SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Pumas |
54.16% ( -0.46) | 23.75% ( 0.12) | 22.09% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( -0.11) | 48.35% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( -0.1) | 70.49% ( 0.1) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( -0.21) | 17.75% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.55% ( -0.37) | 48.44% ( 0.36) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( 0.26) | 36.31% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( 0.27) | 73.1% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Pumas |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 22.09% |
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