SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Puebla |
64.69% ( -0.13) | 20.26% ( 0.05) | 15.05% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% ( -0.04) | 44.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( -0.04) | 66.44% ( 0.04) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( -0.05) | 12.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.75% ( -0.1) | 39.25% ( 0.11) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.09) | 41.79% ( -0.09) |
