SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Juarez |
58.2% ( 0.44) | 22.52% ( -0.15) | 19.28% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( 0.24) | 46.68% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( 0.22) | 68.94% ( -0.22) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( 0.23) | 15.73% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( 0.43) | 44.83% ( -0.42) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.78% ( -0.17) | 38.22% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.02% ( -0.17) | 74.98% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Juarez |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.28% |
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