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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 23, 2023 at 1.10am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
4 - 1
Juarez

Arribas (28' og.), Isais (54'), Castillo (76'), de la Rosa (82' pen.)
Almada Alves (27'), Sanchez (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lezcano (47')
Osuna (59'), Arribas (88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 4-1 Pachuca
Monday, January 16 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-0 Tijuana
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 10.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawJuarez
71.51% (0.062000000000012 0.06) 17.76% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 10.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.21% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (0.173 0.17)43.28% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (0.171 0.17)65.68% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22% (0.063999999999993 0.06)10.78% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.21% (0.14 0.14)34.79% (-0.141 -0.14)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.79% (0.082000000000001 0.08)48.21% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.61% (0.059000000000001 0.06)83.38% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 71.5%
    Juarez 10.73%
    Draw 17.76%
PachucaDrawJuarez
2-0 @ 12.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 9.41%
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.33% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 71.5%
1-1 @ 8.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 17.76%
0-1 @ 3.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.08%
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 10.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigres 4-1 Pachuca
Monday, January 16 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 5-1 Puebla
Tuesday, January 10 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 3-1 Toluca
Monday, October 31 at 1.36am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-5 Pachuca
Friday, October 28 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-1 Pachuca
Monday, October 24 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 5-2 Monterrey
Friday, October 21 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-0 Tijuana
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-1 Juarez
Sunday, January 8 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-1 Pumas
Saturday, October 1 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-0 Juarez
Monday, September 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-1 Pachuca
Thursday, September 15 at 3.05am in Liga MX


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