Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.