Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
