SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Mazatlan |
| 49.37% | 26.35% | 24.28% |
| Both teams to score 47.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% | 56.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% | 77.45% |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% | 22.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.31% | 56.69% |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% | 38.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.49% | 75.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Mazatlan |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.37% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.28% |
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