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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 2, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
2 - 1
Necaxa

Montano (59'), Del Prete (79')
Montano (30'), Flores (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cambindo (60')
Arce (36'), Montes (40'), Cambindo (90+1')
Fentanes (31'), Arce (39')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-0 Mazatlan
Monday, February 26 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca
Saturday, February 24 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawNecaxa
43.42% (-0.108 -0.11) 25.65% (-0.029 -0.03) 30.94% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.02% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (0.178 0.18)49.83% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (0.158 0.16)71.83% (-0.154 -0.15)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.025000000000006 0.03)22.86% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (0.035000000000004 0.04)56.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (0.18599999999999 0.19)29.97% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.223 0.22)66.08% (-0.22 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 43.42%
    Necaxa 30.94%
    Draw 25.64%
MazatlanDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-0 Mazatlan
Monday, February 26 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-2 Mazatlan
Thursday, February 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, February 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-0 Atlas
Saturday, February 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 3-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, February 3 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, January 31 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca
Saturday, February 24 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Guadalajara
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, February 10 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Necaxa
Saturday, February 3 at 11.06pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-2 Necaxa
Thursday, February 1 at 3am in Liga MX


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