Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 3, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Mazatlan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
| Result |
| Puebla | Draw | Mazatlan |
45.81% ( 0.09) | 24.41% ( -0.27) | 29.78% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( 1.04) |
| 55.05% ( 1.32) | 44.95% ( -1.32) |
| 32.7% ( 1.25) | 67.3% ( -1.25) |
| 80.26% ( 0.57) | 19.74% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.23% ( 0.93) | 51.77% ( -0.93) |
| 71.7% ( 0.79) | 28.3% ( -0.78) |
