Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Mazatlan
45.81% ( 0.09)	24.41% ( -0.27)	29.78% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 57.55% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05% (

1.32)

44.95% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7% (

1.25)

67.3% (

-1.25)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

0.57)

19.74% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.23% (

0.93)

51.77% (

-0.93)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

0.79)

28.3% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

0.98)

64.02% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

Puebla 45.81%

Mazatlan 29.78%

Draw 24.41%

Puebla	Draw	Mazatlan
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.81%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.78%