Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.