SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Necaxa |
44.76% ( -0.05) | 26.57% ( -0.05) | 28.67% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.25) | 54.53% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( 0.21) | 75.88% ( -0.2) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.09) | 24.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.12) | 58.62% ( -0.12) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( 0.21) | 34.04% ( -0.21) |
