Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.15) 
