SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 72.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Puebla |
72.66% ( -0.22) | 17.23% ( 0.24) | 10.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( -1.25) | 42.69% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( -1.26) | 65.09% ( 1.25) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.67% ( -0.39) | 10.32% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.23% ( -0.88) | 33.77% ( 0.87) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.98% ( -0.89) | 49.02% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.03% ( -0.65) | 83.97% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monterrey | Draw | Puebla |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.45)3-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 72.65% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.23% | 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 10.11% |
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