Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 28, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Monterrey.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result |
| Puebla | Draw | Monterrey |
27.53% ( 0.07) | 25.55% ( 0.18) | 46.93% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.49) |
| 48.87% ( -0.66) | 51.13% ( 0.67) |
| 27.02% ( -0.59) | 72.97% ( 0.59) |
| 66.87% ( -0.3) | 33.13% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.27% ( -0.33) | 69.73% ( 0.33) |
| 78.21% ( -0.38) | 21.79% ( 0.39) |
