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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 28, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
1 - 2
Monterrey

Mancuello (44')
Maia (63'), Silva (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (64'), Aguirre (70')
Medina (28'), Funes Mori (49')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, January 22 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 21 at 11.06pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawMonterrey
27.53% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 25.55% (0.175 0.18) 46.93% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.3% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.665 -0.66)51.13% (0.669 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.587 -0.59)72.97% (0.58800000000001 0.59)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-0.295 -0.3)33.13% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (-0.329 -0.33)69.73% (0.33 0.33)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (-0.383 -0.38)21.79% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)54.99% (0.588 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 27.53%
    Monterrey 46.92%
    Draw 25.55%
PueblaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.53%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 10.99% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: America 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, January 22 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-0 Queretaro
Saturday, January 14 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 5-1 Puebla
Tuesday, January 10 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Puebla
Sunday, October 16 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-6 America
Thursday, October 13 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Guadalajara (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, October 9 at 10.30pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 21 at 11.06pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-3 Monterrey
Saturday, January 14 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Monterrey
Wednesday, January 11 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Monterrey 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, January 8 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-1 Pachuca
Monday, October 24 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 5-2 Monterrey
Friday, October 21 at 3.06am in Liga MX


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