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Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Jul 27, 2022 at 1am UK
Tecnologico

Monterrey
1 - 0
Puebla

Medina (30')
Meza (43'), Montes (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandez (34'), de Buen (41'), Martinez (82'), Maia (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, July 24 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawPuebla
58.2% (1.046 1.05) 23.1% (-0.179 -0.18) 18.7% (-0.87 -0.87)
Both teams to score 49.28% (-0.905 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (-0.46 -0.46)49.88% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (-0.412 -0.41)71.87% (0.41000000000001 0.41)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (0.203 0.2)16.85% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.13% (0.363 0.36)46.86% (-0.365 -0.37)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-1.238 -1.24)40.73% (1.236 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-1.129 -1.13)77.31% (1.126 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 58.2%
    Puebla 18.7%
    Draw 23.09%
MonterreyDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 12.22% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.46% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.2%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 18.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Queretaro 0-3 Monterrey
Friday, July 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-1 Monterrey
Sunday, July 17 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-2 America
Sunday, July 10 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 4-3 Monterrey
Monday, July 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-2 Atletico San Luis (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-0 Tijuana
Sunday, May 1 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, July 24 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Club Leon
Saturday, July 16 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna
Saturday, July 9 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-4 Puebla
Saturday, July 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, May 15 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 America
Thursday, May 12 at 3.05am in Liga MX


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