SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
24.94% ( 1.61) | 23.98% ( 0.84) | 51.07% ( -2.44) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.5% ( -2.1) | 46.5% ( 2.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.22% ( -2.01) | 68.78% ( 2.01) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% ( 0.23) | 32.75% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( 0.25) | 69.3% ( -0.25) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -1.68) | 18.23% ( 1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.75% ( -2.94) | 49.25% ( 2.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puebla | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.29)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.07% |
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