Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.