Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Cruz Azul
35.76% ( 0.67)	27.13% ( -0.26)	37.1% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08% (

1.04)

54.91% (

-1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.8% (

0.85)

76.2% (

-0.86)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64% (

0.93)

29.35% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66% (

1.13)

65.33% (

-1.13)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

0.25)

28.54% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

0.32)

64.33% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 35.76%

Cruz Azul 37.09%

Draw 27.13%

Necaxa	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.76%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.09%