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Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
3 - 2
Necaxa

Valdes (24'), Rodriguez (31'), Quinones (61')
Lara (66'), Alvarez (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Batista (3', 56')
Colorado (10'), Poggi (66')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-1 Atlas
Monday, August 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-3 Tigres
Monday, August 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawNecaxa
63.37% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 21.09% (-0.026 -0.03) 15.54% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28% (0.145 0.14)46.72% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.02% (0.135 0.14)68.98% (-0.133 -0.13)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91% (0.051000000000002 0.05)14.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.3% (0.094000000000001 0.09)41.7% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.25% (0.11499999999999 0.11)42.75% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.92% (0.099 0.1)79.08% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Club America 63.36%
    Necaxa 15.54%
    Draw 21.09%
Club AmericaDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 11.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 63.36%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.09%
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.26% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.17%
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: America 1-1 Atlas
Monday, August 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 3-0 Puebla
Sunday, July 16 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-2 Juarez
Saturday, July 1 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-3 Guadalajara
Monday, May 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-1 America
Friday, May 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-2 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, May 14 at 4.16am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-3 Tigres
Monday, August 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa
Friday, July 14 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 8 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 30 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Atlas
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX


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