Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 13.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
0.47) 
-0.2) 
