Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 15.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
-1.15) 
0.46) 
