SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
56.57% ( -0.59) | 22.94% ( 0.22) | 20.49% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% ( -0.47) | 46.84% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( -0.44) | 69.1% ( 0.44) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.37) | 16.35% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( -0.67) | 45.96% ( 0.67) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% ( 0.12) | 37.04% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.18% ( 0.11) | 73.83% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.56% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.49% |
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