Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Puebla.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
| Result |
| Necaxa | Draw | Puebla |
34.25% ( -0.43) | 25.9% ( -0.18) | 39.85% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( 0.53) |
| 50.02% ( 0.71) | 49.98% ( -0.71) |
| 28.04% ( 0.63) | 71.96% ( -0.63) |
| 72.11% ( 0.08) | 27.89% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.49% ( 0.1) | 63.5% ( -0.1) |
| 75.29% ( 0.65) | 24.71% ( -0.65) |
