Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pachuca in this match.
