Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
