Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
Result | ||
Puebla | Draw | Pachuca |
28.47% ( 0.18) | 25.43% ( 0.34) | 46.1% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.91% ( -1.3) | 50.1% ( 1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.93% ( -1.17) | 72.07% ( 1.17) |
Puebla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% ( -0.54) | 31.87% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.69% ( -0.62) | 68.31% ( 0.63) |
Pachuca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.27% ( -0.77) | 21.73% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.1% ( -1.19) | 54.9% ( 1.19) |
Score Analysis |
Puebla | Draw | Pachuca |
1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.1% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: