Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pachuca | Draw | Toluca |
47% (![]() | 24.19% (![]() | 28.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.48% (![]() | 44.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.12% (![]() | 66.88% (![]() |
Pachuca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% (![]() | 19.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.32% (![]() | 50.67% (![]() |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% (![]() | 28.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% (![]() | 64.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Pachuca | Draw | Toluca |
2-1 @ 9.38% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.23% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.82% |
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