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Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
2 - 1
Pumas

Cortizo (6'), Freire (29' og.)
Martinez (55'), Mancuello (78'), Ivan Rodriguez (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Salvio (83')
Gutierrez (8'), Ortiz (33'), Del Prete (86')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 2-1 Tigres
Saturday, September 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-2 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawPumas
52.04% (0.26 0.26) 25.17% (-0.105 -0.11) 22.79% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 49% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (0.264 0.26)53.27% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18% (0.222 0.22)74.82% (-0.221 -0.22)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (0.21299999999999 0.21)20.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (0.335 0.34)52.94% (-0.334 -0.33)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)38.39% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86%75.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 52.04%
    Pumas 22.79%
    Draw 25.16%
PueblaDrawPumas
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Puebla 2-1 Tigres
Saturday, September 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla
Sunday, September 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Pachuca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Puebla
Friday, September 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Juarez
Saturday, August 27 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-1 Puebla
Sunday, August 21 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-2 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Pumas
Sunday, September 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 4-1 Queretaro
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Pumas
Sunday, September 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas
Sunday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Pumas
Thursday, August 25 at 3.05am in Liga MX


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