Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pumas
50.63% ( 0.08)	24.26% ( -0.02)	25.11% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.45% (

0.06)

47.54% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.25% (

0.06)

69.75% (

-0.05)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

0.05)

18.8% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.78% (

0.09)

50.21% (

-0.09)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.83% (

-0.01)

33.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22% (

-0.01)

69.77% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Toluca 50.63%

Pumas 25.11%

Draw 24.26%

Toluca	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.63%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.11%