Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mazatlan in this match.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Puebla
37.65% ( -0.06)	25.96% ( 0.01)	36.39% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.01% (

-0.03)

49.99% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03% (

-0.02)

71.97% (

0.02)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

-0.05)

25.9% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11% (

-0.06)

60.89% (

0.06)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.38% (

0.02)

26.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.15% (

0.02)

61.84% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 37.65%

Puebla 36.39%

Draw 25.95%

Mazatlan	Draw	Puebla
1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.65%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.39%