SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Puebla |
59.26% ( -0.31) | 22.45% ( 0.13) | 18.29% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( -0.23) | 47.85% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( -0.22) | 70.03% ( 0.22) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( -0.18) | 15.78% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.09% ( -0.34) | 44.92% ( 0.34) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% ( 0.07) | 40.01% ( -0.07) |
