Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Cruz Azul
43.09% ( -0.23)	24.85% ( 0.01)	32.05% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

0.01)

45.95% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.74% (

68.26% (

-0.01)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

-0.1)

21.36% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

-0.16)

54.33% (

0.15)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

0.13)

27.31% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

0.18)

62.75% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 43.09%

Cruz Azul 32.05%

Draw 24.85%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Cruz Azul
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.05%