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Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Cruz Azul

Padilla (90+7')
Gutierrez (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castano (41'), Sepulveda (68'), Ditta (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 Guadalajara
Wednesday, November 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Juarez
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawCruz Azul
43.09% (-0.227 -0.23) 24.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 32.05% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)45.95% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)68.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)21.36% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)54.33% (0.151 0.15)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (0.134 0.13)27.31% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.176 0.18)62.75% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 43.09%
    Cruz Azul 32.05%
    Draw 24.85%
CD GuadalajaraDrawCruz Azul
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 Guadalajara
Wednesday, November 1 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-4 Tigres
Sunday, October 29 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, October 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, October 8 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-3 Mazatlan
Wednesday, September 27 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Juarez
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Club Leon
Sunday, October 29 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, October 22 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-4 Pumas
Sunday, October 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, September 30 at 4am in Liga MX


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