Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
