SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monterrey in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Monterrey |
36.9% ( -0.68) | 25.4% ( -0.08) | 37.7% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( 0.36) | 47.5% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( 0.33) | 69.71% ( -0.33) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( -0.21) | 25.16% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( -0.29) | 59.88% ( 0.29) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0.58) | 24.73% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( 0.8) | 59.28% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pumas | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.7% |
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