Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.
