Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.