Mazatlan
1 - 2
Toluca

Bello (29')
Moreno (56'), Vidrio (90+5')
Sosa (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Canelo (69'), Fernandez (80' pen.)
Baeza (3'), Ortega (17')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
40.01%	26.03%	33.96%

Both teams to score 53.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.44%

50.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.52%

72.47%

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.5%

59.49%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65%

28.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91%

64.08%

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 40.01%

Toluca 33.96%

Draw 26.02%

Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.01%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.96%