Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.66%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.