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Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
2 - 1
Guadalajara

Brunetta (56'), Vergara (72')
Vergara (33'), Aquino (43'), Repetto (75'), Preciado (80'), Brunetta (81'), Doria (85'), Cervantes (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarado (84' pen.)
Torres (51'), Alfonso Guzman Guzman (85'), Vega (86')
Vega (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Santos Laguna
Monday, August 21 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, August 23 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawCD Guadalajara
34.43% (0.0020000000000024 0) 26.99% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 38.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.79% (-0.215 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54% (-0.27 -0.27)54.46% (0.271 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17% (-0.226 -0.23)75.83% (0.226 0.23)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)29.97% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.161 -0.16)66.09% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.167 -0.17)27.48% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)62.97% (0.215 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 34.43%
    CD Guadalajara 38.57%
    Draw 26.99%
Santos LagunaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 34.43%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 10.63% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Santos Laguna
Monday, August 21 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-0 Atlas
Friday, July 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Santos Laguna
Saturday, July 8 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Queretaro
Monday, July 3 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, May 14 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-0 Monterrey
Thursday, May 11 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, August 23 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, August 19 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, August 19 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa
Friday, July 14 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, July 9 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Guadalajara
Tuesday, July 4 at 3am in Liga MX


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