Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.