Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 30, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Juarez.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
| Result |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Juarez |
50.66% ( -0.72) | 23.6% ( 0.27) | 25.74% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.43) |
| 55.88% ( -0.78) | 44.13% ( 0.79) |
| 33.49% ( -0.77) | 66.51% ( 0.77) |
| 82.52% ( -0.56) | 17.49% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.02% ( -0.99) | 47.98% ( 0.99) |
| 69.17% ( -0.06) | 30.83% ( 0.06) |
